DATA FROM COINGLASS SHOWS BITCOIN IS DOWN MORE THAN 22% SO FAR IN THE FOURTH QUARTER, MAKING 2025 ONE OF THE WEAKEST YEAR-END PERIODS OUTSIDE OF MAJOR BEAR MARKETS. Bitcoin’s price is nearing $90,000, offering a short-term boost to the crypto market, but analysts remain cautious about a significant recovery. The total crypto market capitalization has surpassed $3 trillion, yet analysts warn that the rebound may be driven by exhaustion rather than renewed confidence. Bitcoin remains about 30% below its 2025 peak, with the market still vulnerable to sharp reversals, particularly during U.S. trading hours.
Bitcoin’s push back toward near the $90,000 mark is giving the crypto market a short-term lift, but few analysts see it as a meaningful turning point after one of the weakest second halves in recent years. Seasonal patterns reinforce that caution.
Bitcoin is on track for its worst fourth quarter since 2018 as traders anticipate further declines. Data from CoinGlass shows BTC down more than 22% in the fourth quarter, marking 2025 as one of the weakest year-end periods outside major bear markets. Bitcoin trades near $90,000, providing only a near-term lift and not a signal of a durable recovery. The market remains roughly 30% below its 2025 peak, leaving it susceptible to sharp reversals, especially during U.S. trading hours.
While BTC’s move toward the $90,000 level offers a temporary boost, few analysts view it as a meaningful turning point after one of the weakest second halves in recent years. Seasonal patterns continue to reinforce a cautious stance.
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