Solana closed 2025 near the $120–$130 level, delivering a modest gain from the year’s start. The chart shows that price action has largely followed a rising long-term trendline that shapes SOL’s path more than day-to-day moves. Early-year lows around $94 in January and about $96 in April were followed by a December tap near $116, with buyers stepping in at progressively higher levels. The structure matters more than short-term volatility, as SOL’s price did not surge but also avoided a sharp collapse.
If the long-term trendline remains intact, Solana could see additional upside as momentum returns. Continued higher lows, alongside growing on-chain demand, help support a constructive setup. A break above prior resistance could open a path toward the $300–$400 zone during 2026, assuming macro conditions stay favorable and network execution meets expectations. Upbeat momentum could be reinforced by ongoing network upgrades and broader demand for SOL.
On the downside, a decisive breakdown below the rising trendline would quickly alter the outlook, with downside risk toward the $50 region if support fails. History suggests that long-term trends can unwind sharply when confidence fades, leaving Solana at a crossroads as 2026 begins. Ultimately, whether SOL accelerates higher or slips lower will depend on how well that foundation holds when pressure returns.
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