With a 28% rally over the past four days, Dogecoin (DOGE) is back at a familiar decision point on higher timeframes, with three analysts leaning toward “pullback-then-continue” rather than a simple fade, so long as a key Fibonacci reclaim holds. Across the 4H, weekly, and monthly charts shared by Matt Hughes (@matthughes13), Byzantine General (@ByzGeneral), and Cantonese Cat (@cantonmeow), the market is framed as strong but now confronting nearby resistance after a sharp move. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.14944.
Matt Hughes’ core tell is the weekly 0.382 retracement at 0.13847, which his chart highlights as the pivot level bulls needed to regain. He anchored that read to the prior demand area he’d flagged last week: “Risknullreward in the .11-.12 zone for DOGE is incredible here.” The 4H view shows why “dead cat bounce” talk is tempting: price ripped higher, tagged the prior range highs, and then backed off, a pattern that can retest or rollover. Byzantine General expects a reset to about $0.14 before the rally resumes, saying the move was incredible and a little pullback makes sense but the structure remains strong.
On the same 4H layout, the move is accompanied by rising derivatives positioning, with open interest pushing up to about 4.714B and cross-exchange funding reads positive (Binance 0.01, Bybit 0.0099, OKX 0.0082), signaling a long-leaning market without euphoric extremes. Cantonese Cat argues the rally can still work if it respects structure and reacts cleanly at resistance, noting a brutal retrace to 0.382 could form a handle for the big 4-year cup-and-handle. The monthly view shows the current zone as a tight band between 0.11778 (0.382) and 0.15428 (0.5), with 0.20210 (0.618) above as a potential reference for continuation, step by step. If DOGE sustains weekly acceptance above 0.13847 and reclaims around 0.15428, the bias points to consolidation before extension; a break below 0.13847 would refocus attention on supports near 0.11778 and 0.09320.
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