Parcl, the real-time housing data and on-chain real estate platform, and Polymarket, the world’s largest prediction market, announced a partnership to bring Parcl’s daily housing price indices to Polymarket’s real estate prediction markets. Polymarket will list and operate the markets, while Parcl will provide independent index data and settlement reference values designed for transparent verification. By combining Parcl’s indices with Polymarket’s event-market structure, the partnership aims to offer a simpler, data-driven way to trade housing outcomes with clear settlement rules.
Initial markets will focus on major U.S. housing markets. Market templates will ask whether a city’s home price index finishes up or down over a defined period—monthly, quarterly, or yearly—and will include threshold-style outcomes that settle against published index values. To enhance transparency, each market will reference a dedicated Parcl resolution page showing the final settlement value, historical index context, and the index methodology.
Parcl and Polymarket plan a phased rollout of the first real estate prediction markets, starting with high-liquidity cities and expanding to additional metros and index-based market types based on demand. The teams will collaborate on standardized market templates and tooling to enable the creation of markets with consistent terms, dates, and resolution references.
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