Stellar’s Real-World Asset value rose from about $890 million at year-end to roughly $986 million in early January, bringing the network closer to the $1 billion threshold. Over the past three months, Stellar’s price has fallen about 34%, while on-chain activity and capital inflows have continued, aided by buying at lower price levels. On the daily chart, Stellar appears to have formed an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern, with the neckline currently about 12% above the current price.
A daily close above $0.254 would confirm the breakout, opening a path toward approximately $0.330, about a 30% gain from the neckline. On the downside, the first key level to watch is around $0.223; a close below this could weaken the bullish setup, and a close below $0.196 would invalidate the pattern.
Chaikin Money Flow has stayed positive, signaling net capital inflows, while the Money Flow Index has remained above 36, indicating sustained buying pressure despite price softness. The combination of rising on-chain activity and ongoing capital inflows supports a constructive near-term view for XLM as the RWA approaches the $1 billion threshold. This backdrop suggests investors may continue to accumulate at lower levels while watching for a potential breakout path.
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