Ethereum is showing signs of strength on two critical fronts at the same time. On-chain activity has climbed to record levels, reflecting heavier real usage across the network, while long-term technical structure is leaning towards upside continuation. Together, these signals suggest that Ethereum’s current phase may be more than just sideways movement, as underlying data points to sustained demand and constructive price behavior.
Notably, on-chain data shows that daily transactions recently climbed to approximately 2.8 million, setting a new all-time high for the network. This figure is roughly 64% higher than the daily transaction levels observed during the peak of the 2021 bull market. Comparing the transaction activity to 2021 adds more context considering the intense amount of activity that the Ethereum network was witnessing at the time. Back then, Ethereum was at the center of an altcoin season and NFT boom, all of which contributed to a spike in transaction activity and a push to new price highs. The fact that Ethereum is now processing significantly more transactions per day compared to 2021 shows that its network usage has grown above speculative behavior. The steady climb in transaction activity shows the sheer amount of usage across decentralized finance and stablecoin settlement, among many others. Technical analysis of Ethereum’s market capitalization on the three-week candlestick timeframe shows the cryptocurrency is still trading in a zone of stability. Particularly, technical analysis done by crypto analyst Egrag Crypto suggests that Ethereum is in reaccumulation within a macro uptrend. A look at the 3-week timeframe shows that ETH’s market cap is holding above the 21 EMA, respecting the rising macro trendline, printing higher highs & higher lows, and compressing under historical resistance. That is constructive behavior, not weakness. History shows that periods where Ethereum’s market cap held above the 21 EMA on this timeframe have led to expansion phases, whereas sustained moves below it have marked bear market conditions. At present, the structure indicates the EMA support is being defended. From a probabilistic standpoint, the current setup leans toward continuation rather than breakdown. A move through the overhead resistance band would likely confirm an expansion phase and allow Ethereum to go on a 70% to 75% bullish continuation. On the other hand, a bearish outcome will become possible if the price action loses the 21 EMA on the three-week chart. This could validate a deeper 25% to 30% correction toward the lower trendline, but this scenario carries a lower probability.
Ethereum is showing strength on two fronts at once: on-chain activity has surged to record levels, and the three-week technical view remains tilted toward upside. The combination of higher real usage and constructive price action suggests the current phase could extend beyond sideways movement. Daily transactions have climbed to approximately 2.8 million, a new all-time high for the network. This figure is roughly 64% higher than the daily levels seen during the peak of the 2021 bull market, underscoring that current activity reflects growing network utilization rather than mere speculation. The ongoing rise in transactions points to broad activity across decentralized finance and stablecoin settlements, reinforcing the case for sustained demand.
On the technical side, Ethereum’s three-week chart shows the market cap holding above the 21 EMA and tracking a rising macro trendline with higher highs and higher lows. This pattern is interpreted as reaccumulation within a macro uptrend, suggesting constructive behavior rather than weakness. A breach of the overhead resistance band would likely spark an expansion phase and a bullish continuation of roughly 70% to 75%. Conversely, a break below the 21 EMA on the three-week chart could open a deeper 25% to 30% correction toward the lower trendline, though this outcome carries a lower probability.
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