As the market bounces from the recent lows, Dogecoin (DOGE) is attempting to turn a crucial area back into support. Dogecoin, the largest memecoin by market capitalization, has been trading in the $0.119-$0.151 range over the past month, reaching a one-month high of $0.156 during the early January rally. DOGE retested the range lows over the weekend, holding the key $0.119-$0.120 area as support before bouncing 5% toward the current levels. Now, the cryptocurrency is attempting to reclaim the $0.1250 area to continue its recovery rally.

Amid this performance, some market observers affirmed that the memecoin could be near the end of a macro consolidation. Analyst Bitcoinsensus noted that Dogecoin has followed a similar pattern to the upside during previous cycles. The chart shows that after retracing from the previous highs, the cryptocurrency has recorded a long consolidation, followed by a “parabolic run to fresh new highs, when market conditions allow it.” As the analysis noted, previous breakouts from DOGE’s long-term accumulation zones have led to 60x and 215x gains, which could signal that a bigger rally could be brewing if history repeats.

Similarly, Trader Tardigrade highlighted that Dogecoin’s current performance in the weekly timeframe mirrors its Q4 2024 breakout, which led to its multi-year high of $0.484. “The structure, duration, and magnitude of the current and previous pullbacks are very similar,” he wrote on X, with a nearly 60% decline from its local highs over 19 weeks. Based on this, the analyst suggested that Dogecoin “might have completed its entire pullback and could propel itself to the next high” in the coming weeks. Despite the bullish outlooks, market watcher TradingShot affirmed that DOGE is already deep into its new bear cycle and risks another 50%-70% pullback if selling pressure and market volatility continue.

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