As you probably remember, the Oct. 10, 2025 crypto sector crash erased more than $1 trillion of market value across cryptoassets. That means we have a very recent example in hand to guide how we think about how these assets perform and why. As you can see, Bitcoin tends to come out the other side of turbulent episodes looking a bit better because it is the simplest big asset with the widest base of long-term holders in the crypto sector, as well as one of the biggest in the world. The proof is in the pudding; in the past, it has recovered from absurd drawdowns, including declines deeper than 70%, and importantly, it still eventually set new highs afterward.
That pattern isn’t a promise of the price going up when you want it to, of course. Still, Bitcoin’s core mechanism is its ever-increasing scarcity, which remains in effect even after the market craters. The halving schedule that reduces new supply roughly every four years is part of that design.
Therefore in the context of a market crash — especially one triggered by real economic phenomena that alter how willing financial businesses will be to invest in onboarding new technologies — XRP is practically destined to see a worse near-term outcome than Bitcoin, as well as a recovery that’s more likely to be hampered by real economic constraints. So, if there’s a future crash, buy Bitcoin if you want the asset whose investment thesis requires the fewest external parties to behave well.
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