Coinbase has laid out a practical playbook for Bitcoin’s near-term trajectory, identifying two price zones that could decide the next move: roughly $82,000 on the upside and $60,000 on the downside. The firm argues that integrating structural support and resistance bands with gamma exposure helps traders gauge whether BTC will mean-revert, break out, or accelerate lower. The analysis relies on a heatmap of real supply and demand levels, created by aggregating market pivot points and volume into price bands.
In Coinbase’s framework, the densest support cluster sits near $60,000 and the first dense resistance band near $82,000, both described as zones where market interest and resting liquidity concentrate. The company emphasizes that downside risk accelerates if BTC cannot hold $60,000, while upside potential is shaped by positive gamma pockets around higher levels. It notes a pronounced negative gamma band in the $60,000–$70,000 region and positive gamma pockets around $85,000 and $90,000.
The report also outlines how gamma hedging can act as a stabilizer in positive gamma regions and as a trend amplifier in negative gamma regions, depending on price moves. A break above $82,000 would indicate supply absorption and raise continuation odds, whereas rejection at that level could trap breakout traders. If BTC fails to reclaim $60,000 after testing it, the path could turn toward faster downside, underscoring the “regime change” Coinbase warns about. At press time, Bitcoin traded around $65,026.
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