BITCOIN UP OR DOWN ON MARCH 16? is a daily prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell shares on whether Bitcoin’s price will finish higher (“Up”) or lower (“Down”) than its opening price over the daily window specified in the title. The current market probability is 76% for “Up.” A price of 76% means the market collectively assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. As of today, “Bitcoin Up or Down on March 16?” has generated $161.3K in total trading volume.
To trade on “Bitcoin Up or Down on March 16?,” decide whether you believe Bitcoin’s price at noon ET on March 16 will be higher (“Up”) or lower (“Down”) than Bitcoin’s price at noon ET on March 15. If your chosen outcome is correct at resolution, each share pays out $1.00. The market resolves based on a comparison of Bitcoin’s price at noon ET on March 16 versus noon ET on March 15, using Binance BTCUSDT 1-minute candle close prices. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT “Close” prices available with “1m” candles and Candles selected on the top bar.
Market opened March 14, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. End date March 16, 2026. Trading is open. There are 6,700 comments.
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