Cardano’s on-chain data shows large holders accumulating roughly 454 million ADA, worth about $161 million, while retail investors have been selling. On-chain data indicates a pronounced divergence between smart money and retail sentiment. ADA has drifted down to around $0.35 after trading above $0.40.
Whale accumulation has continued despite broader price weakness, implying conviction among institutional players. Retail wallets with 100,000 to 100,000,000 ADA expanded significantly, reaching about 454.7 million ADA by late December 2025 to early January 2026. Retail selling persisted in smaller wallets, with about 22,000 ADA sold in three weeks. The circulation percentage dropped to 0.122-0.121, and the number of tokens decreased to 43.6-43.96 million ADA.
Historically such whale accumulation during retail capitulation has preceded bottom formation, suggesting upside if the broader market stabilizes. ADA trades near $0.349 with key support around $0.33, and a breakout above $0.40 would signal bullish momentum. The divergence underscores smart money positioning for future upside while retail traders reassess risk.
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