Analyst Trader Tardigrade noted that bearish momentum continues on the daily Ichimoku structure. The Dogecoin price is below the Kumo cloud, confirming the prevailing downward trend.
The Tenkan-sen continues to act as a dynamic resistance, repeatedly repelling temporary recovery efforts. Every shift to this level has created a new selling thrust.
Dogecoin trades below the Ichimoku cloud, with a $0.10 reclaim needed to neutralise short-term bearish pressure. A rising trendline around $0.09 serves as the final point of defence, since a failure risks acceleration towards the $0.085 zone. In the meantime, Tardigrade presented another structural chart that highlighted the support behaviour. Price is now squeezed against an upward diagonal trend line, which has held repeatedly.
Downside momentum indicates a visible deceleration towards this structural base. In case of an ascending trendline retention, a technical rebound to the $0.10 level is structurally possible. This zone coincides with a minor horizontal resistance. Reaction strength at this level will determine the structural validity of the measure.
Confirmation is necessary from a strong daily close above the $0.11 resistance supported by volume growth. Any sudden dip below the ascending base would invalidate the support system. This move may trigger the downside in line with the bearish structure. The Dogecoin price sits at a technical inflexion point defined by support integrity.
According to analyst Surf, Dogecoin’s macro structure relative to Bitcoin provides a broader context. The weekly DOGE vs BTC chart shows a falling channel characterised by lower highs. Recently, the price approached the upper ceiling of this falling structure. Relative strength compression indicates that a structural pivot moment may occur.
This squeeze between price and momentum indicates a potential breakout trigger. Confirmation requires a break above descending resistance and sustained momentum. However, a rejection at this level would strengthen the multi-month underperformance against Bitcoin.
Further weakness may keep DOGE price on a path toward previous-cycle lows within the channel structure. Moreover, the weekly chart supports the current resistance test. In this macro model, capital rotation in the wider crypto market is reflected in Dogecoin price. The price must reclaim the Tenkan-sen and flip the Kijun-sen upward. A decisive close above the cloud boundary would be required to confirm a trend reversal.
Until such structural reclaim occurs, the Dogecoin price remains capped by dynamic resistance pressure.
A bearish Ichimoku configuration persists, with Dogecoin trading below the Kumo cloud and Tenkan-sen acting as dynamic resistance. A reclaim near $0.10 is required to neutralize near-term downside pressure, while a rising trendline around $0.09 marks the last defense; failure could accelerate toward the $0.085 zone.
The price is squeezed against this rising base, suggesting downside momentum is decelerating and a rebound could occur if the trendline holds.
Analysts note that Dogecoin’s macro structure relative to Bitcoin points to ongoing underperformance within a weekly falling channel, with momentum signaling a potential breakout once price clears the upper boundary of the channel. A break above the cloud boundary and sustained momentum would be needed to confirm a trend reversal, whereas a rejection could reinforce multi-month weakness versus Bitcoin. The price action emphasizes key levels: reclaiming the Tenkan-sen, flipping the Kijun-sen upward, and closing above the cloud as prerequisites for a reversal.
Short-term prospects center on a rebound toward the $0.10 level, where a minor horizontal resistance sits; success here would validate the setup for a broader move. If the price fails to hold the ascending base, the downside risk remains, keeping DOGE on a path toward prior-cycle lows within the channel.
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